Tennessee has scored more points than any other SEC team while Vanderbilt has allowed the most. Tennessee is a fine team that simply had a terrible game last week, losing 63-38 at South Carolina as a 22-point favorite. Losing QB Hendon Hooker (27 TDs, 2 INTs) was a tough break, but coach Josh Heupel runs a quick-strike offense and senior QB Joe Milton III (6 TDs, 0 INTs) has thrown for 573 yards this season. Over the last three years, he's thrown for over 2,000 yards with 12 TDs, 4 INTs between Michigan and Tennessee. Tennessee is 20-8 ATS on the road off of an SEC loss by double-digits, while college football road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points are 27-7 ATS after allowing 42+ points in the last game. They will move the ball against a Vanderbilt defense that is 116th in the country in total yards (452.8 pg) and points surrendered (34.5 pg). Vanderbilt is on a 4-13 spread run at home, plus 15-31 ATS after allowing 325+ passing yards in the last game. And Tennessee has won the last two meetings, 42-17 and 45-21. Play Tennessee.
This pick was released to clients on November 24, 2022 at 1:41PM ET.
CFB
Tennessee at Vanderbilt
November 26, 2022
7:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on Tennessee -14 (-109) (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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