This pick was released to clients on August 23, 2012 at 1:23PM ET.
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Tennessee at Mississippi

October 16, 2004
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Classic let down scenario for the Vols here. Tennessee beat Georgia as a double-digit dog last week and as a result, they'll have trouble getting up for this one. Ole Miss is not an easy place to play and Tennessee still has two frosh QB's. Ole Miss will be able to move the ball on UT's defense. Tennessee should win here but the spread looks a little high in reaction to last week's big Vol win. Ole Miss can put up the points. They're averaging nearly 30 points per game over their last four. Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are outrushing their opponents by 60 or more yards/game on the season, after a game in which they ran for 75 yards or less fail to cover the spread over 80% of the time in their next game. Also, road teams off an upset win over a conference rival when facing an opponent off a win against a conference rival are just 42-81 over the past ten seasons. Bet 110 to win 100 on this one with Miss +10.

1 unit on Mississippi +10 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
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