Tennessee at Florida

This line is too high for a huge game featuring two unproven teams early in the season. There will be mistakes, and both of these defenses are good and will give the opposing offenses some trouble. It will be interesting to see how Urban Meyer's smoke and mirrors offense does against the speed of the Vols defense. Tennessee returns some studs on offense and that could spell some trouble for a Florida defense that had to replace some primary play makers. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that returned 8+ offensive starters including the QB are 75-37 (67%) over the last 10 seasons in the first month of the season. This is an experienced Vols team that has covered the spread 64% of the time vs. their opponent today. We like the Vols and Fulmer's big game SEC experience here. Given that the dog is 6-2-1 in this series, we'll take Tennesee and the generous points for two stars.