Tennessee at Alabama

Tennessee has talent across the board, off a pair of 9-4 campaigns, but is a whopping underdog to rival Alabama. The Tennessee defense is allowing 23.8 points per game, off a 15-9 loss to South Carolina, plus they lost 26-20 at Florida, covering as a +6.5 dog. Tennessee is 47-29 ATS away against a team with a winning record. Alabama is 1-4 ATS this season as a favorite of 25 or more, failing to cover against Fresno State (41-10), Colorado State (41-23), Texas A&M (27-19) and Arkansas (41-9). 'Bama comes off a win over Arkansas but home favorites of 21.5+ points with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better are 4-25 against the spread after a game where they forced one or fewer turnovers. When these rivals clash the road team is 16-5-1 ATS and the Volunteers are on a 9-3 ATS run against the Tide, including 7-3-1 ATS at Alabama. Alabama has rival LSU on deck, so back the big dog and play Tennessee.