Temple at Central Michigan

Temple has relied on their defense to stay in games after losing their QB, but Chester Stewart had a coming out party last week, and has to be confident. He three for three scores last week on the road, in an upset win vs Miami Ohio. The Owls defense has allowed just 11.2 ppg if you take out the game where they were completely mis-matched vs Penn State. Getting a TD+ in this situation shows some serious value, especially with a confident Stewart now getting comfortable taking snaps. Central Michigan has played all three of their "like competition" games to within 7 points. What their offense gets, their defense gives. While they have scored 27.7 ppg in those three games, they have yielded 28.3 ppg. This has the look of another one that should be decided by a TD or less, so the points here are the way to go.