This pick was released to clients on September 21, 2023 at 10:29AM ET.
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TCU at Texas

September 22, 2018
img4:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The last three meetings have gone UNDER, following TCU's 24-7 win in 2017 that went UNDER by 14 points and the 2016 matchup stayed UNDER by 21 points. TCU comes off a tough loss to Ohio State after keeping it close for three quarters. The Horned Frogs racked up 203 yards on the ground on 5.6 yards per carry and Shawn Robinson finished 24-of-40 for 308 yards with a touchdown and interception. Texas comes off a 37-14 win over USC and held the Trojans scoreless the last three quarters. Sam Ehlinger was 15-of-33 for 223 yards with two touchdowns for the Longhorns, who averaged 3.3 yards per rush, but the big story was Texas's run defense that held the Trojans to minus yardage. That will play a big part in this matchup as the Horned Frogs need a big game on the ground as evidenced against the Buckeyes. TCU is 9-4 UNDER its last 13 games overall and 13-3 UNDER its last 16 road games.  Texas is 42-19 UNDER its last 61 games overall and 10-4 UNDER its last 14 home games. Also, the Longhorns are 22-6 UNDER their last 28 after an ATS win. Take this game to stay UNDER the total.

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 47.5 -108 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
TCU Horned Frogs
6
7
3
0
16
Texas Longhorns img
7
3
14
7
31
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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