img CFB

TCU at Boise State

December 23, 2008
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This should be the top Bowl game prior to New Year's Day. Boise State is undefeated and TCU has just two losses that came to teams heading to BCS Bowls. The public has made their claim here, and it is of course with the seductive appeal of an unbeaten team with a great offense getting points. The Horned Frogs have assembled the best defense in the country this season. They went on the road early and held the Sooners who are putting up 60+ on everyone home or away, to 35. The Sooners could not sustain a single drive all game and had trouble reaching the red-zone. They won with raw speed and a pro-caliber QB that could get the ball downfield fast and accurately. Four of the Sooner TD's in that game came from outside the red-zone (they scored from 76, 63, 55 and 24 yards out). Their high powered running attack managed just 25 yards on 36 carries. The offense which averaged 30 first downs a game this season managed just 17 against TCU. The TCU defense allowed just 12 TDs in their other 11 games. That includes two on the road to a Nevada team that was averaging over 500 yards per game and 38 ppg. TCU held Utah, BYU and Nevada to a combined 34 points, with two of those games being played on the road. All four of the big offenses the Horned Frogs faced this year scored a season low in points against them. Bottom line? This defense is awesome! Boise State had the luxury fore most of the season of playing teams that were offensively challenged. When they went up against a good offense they struggled. They gave up 34 to Nevada and had to fight for their life at Oregon, who scored 32. TCU isn't just all about defense, they averaged over 30 ppg themselves. There is a reason TCU is favored over an undefeated team. They are better on both sides of the ball, and get the call here.

4 units on TCU -3 (-110) (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
TCU Horned Frogs img
0
7
3
7
17
Boise State Broncos
10
3
0
3
16
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free CFB picks and predictions.

Join 412,085 Subscribers!