TCU at Baylor

TCU will be joining the Big East next year, and this is a team that finds a way win a lot of games year after year. This year looks difficult with just nine returning starters, but if we have learned anything about this program, it is never to count them out. They have finished first in the nation five times in the last 11 years in allowing the fewest yards from scrimmage, so don't be surprised if they are in striking distance of that achievement again. This is a team that is 66-11 since the onset of the 2005 season straight-up, and 47-27 ATS in all games. Don’t forget that they handed Baylor a 35-point defeat last year as a three TD favorite. Baylor had a good but disappointing season a year ago, which saw them lose their last three games, and then a fourth loss in their Bowl loss to Illinois. The problem is that they lost to all the good teams they played, and this one is going to be in that same class. The Bears are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 as a home dog, as well as 0-4 ATS vs. the Mountain West. TCU is 6-2 ATS vs. Big-12 teams, and they have one they can handle in this one.