Syracuse at Florida State

Syracuse may be riding a four-game skid, but they are playing good football, losing to #8 LSU just 34-24 and to #25 Pitt (23-20) last week. They also lost 44-38 at Virginia. Syracuse has five freshmen starters and through seven games, freshmen have accounted for 73.8 percent of the Orange's 2,395 yards of total offense (1,767 yards). Syracuse football coach Scott Shafer is very good and has these guys playing well. Freshman quarterback Eric Dungey has been the key offensively, completing 79 of 122 passes for 1,020 yards with 11 TDs and only three interceptions. Syracuse is on a 5-2 ATS run, is 5-2 ATS against a team with a winning record, and is 4-0 ATS on the road against a team with a winning home record. The Orange is also 7-2 UNDER the total in ACC contests, as well as 18-7-1 UNDER on the road against a team with a winning home record. They run into a Florida State offense that has many new pieces, and comes off a 22-16 loss to Georgia Tech. The Seminoles are on a 6-16 ATS run, including 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games. Florida State has a better defense than offense on a 5-1 run UNDER the total, including 14-5 UNDER on grass. The Seminoles are also 10-2 UNDER the total at home, so grab the big dog in a defensive game. Take Syracuse and the UNDER.