Stanford at Oregon State

No matter what happens to Stanford this season, they can hang their hat on a victory on the road as a 39 point dog to USC. But for us, the other games are what lead us away from them here. That same team that held USC to 23 points has allowed 38, 41, 45and 55 in four other games. They give up 450 yards per game. Oregon State brings in a rugged run defense which has put opponents in a lot of third and longs, resulting in 28 sacks and an overall defensive rank of 23rd in the country. Oregon State has a balanced offense, which is the type of team that can take advantage of a Stanford defense that gets burned frequently. Stanford plays run first, and play action has burned this defense all season, as they have had their safeties caught cheating on numerous occasions. They have given up six TDs of 60 yards or more, and eight of 47 yards or more. We expect Oregon State to exploit this vulnerability with both a competent running game, and a competent passing game. This dog has taken their bite for the season, so we ride the chalk here.