South Florida at Rutgers

Both of these teams enter this one at 6-2 on the season, but Rutgers' record should have an asterisk by it. The Scarlet Knights have beaten Florida International, Howard and Texas Southern, along with Army for four of the six wins. Despite the soft schedule, the Rutgers offense ranks just No. 87 out of 120 teams. The only two challenges to their offense have been Pittsburgh and Cincinnati. In both those games, the Knights could not move the ball and did not top the 300 yard mark on offense. I would expect the top 25 defense of the Bulls to force similar problems for Rutgers here. The Bulls have played five games against teams that don't generate much offensively, and have held them to a combined 47 points - that's a very stingy 9.4 per game. It will be tough for Rutgers to top the 20-point mark in this one. Here is an amazing stat: The Bulls are 24-1 straight up in their last 25 games when holding their opponent to 20 points or less and in the only loss, they won ATS! That tells me that getting points here is the way to go.