South Florida at Navy

South Florida has a shot at a Bowl game with a winning record. They've won three in a row with a strong defense allowing 24, 20 and 14 points. This team also gave #11 Florida State a good game, tied 7-7 at the half. It's a run-oriented offense with two QBs combining for 11 TDs, and seven picks. South Florida is 11-4-1 UNDER the total on the road and 12-3 UNDER in conference games. And speaking of run-oriented offenses that can chew up yards and the clock, few are better than Navy. Navy's defense has been very good, too, allowing 10, 21, 18, 11 and 14 points in its five victories. Navy is 15-6 UNDER the total at home, as well as 31-11 UNDER after the Midshipmen fail to cover a spread in their previous contest. They didn't get the cover last week but held Tulane to 14 points while forcing three turnovers. South Florida is on a 24-10-1 run UNDER the total, including 9-2 UNDER following a win, so don't look for an offensive show. This one stays UNDER.