South Florida at Houston

South Florida is undefeated in Charlie Strong's second year as coach and now faces its toughest test of the season this week at Houston. The Bulls have gone UNDER three of their last five games, and this matchup has a huge posted total even though Houston has stayed UNDER two of its last three. Last year's meeting went UNDER by two points as the Cougars came away with a 28-24 victory. Houston has also stayed UNDER 17 of its last 25 games overall and nine of its last 13 home contests. USF has gone UNDER five of its last seven conference games, and the Bulls ran the ball 37 times in its win over Connecticut while averaging 9.4 yards per carry and using a lot of the clock. Blake Barnett was 20-of-28 for 265 yards with a touchdown and was picked off twice for the Bulls against UConn, which was held to only 133 passing yards. USF allows only 25.7 points per game, and Houston gives up 29.1. The defenses of both teams appear to be underrated, and it will be a lower-scoring game than expected. Take the UNDER.