South Florida at Florida State

Pity South Florida. South Florida opened the season at home and now plays two in a row against the ACC and the Big 10. The Bulls are 8-21-1 ATS in non-conference games, plus 10-23-1 ATS on natural grass. South Florida has yet to enjoy much success in the American Athletic Conference under third-year coach Willie Taggart. They've brought in a new offensive playbook for this season and Taggart has used five different starting quarterbacks in two seasons. The Bulls are 7-19 ATS after a spread cover and 1-4 ATS against the ACC. That offense won't move the football on this powerhouse Florida State defense and the Bulls are on a 21-8 run UNDER the total, including 10-3 UNDER on the road. Florida State returns only three starters on offense, but seven on a talented defense. Four new starters are on Florida State's offensive line. They come off a 59-16 rout of Texas State and have another easy one here. Florida State is 8-1 UNDER the total at home, as well as 17-8 UNDER in non-conference games. This is the second straight home game for the Seminoles and this shapes up as another one-sided rout with the defense leading the way (they are 11-4 UNDER the total on natural grass). Take Florida State and the game total UNDER.