South Florida at Connecticut

South Florida is fighting for a bowl at 3-4 behind freshman QB Byrum Brown (12 TDs, 5 INTs), who leads the team in rushing with 512 yards. They've beaten Rice (42-29) and Navy (44-30) as underdogs and lost just 17-3 to Alabama as a +34 dog. South Florida is 15-5 ATS on the road after a loss by 21+ points, plus 40-21 ATS away from home after failing to cover in the last game. Connecticut is off an emotional week getting its first victory of the season, 38-31, at Rice. UConn's offense is averaging 3.8 yards per rush while the defense is 97th in the nation in points surrendered (31.5 per game) and 80th on third down (40.51%). College football home teams that are getting beat on average by double-digits are 13-40 ATS after scoring 37+ points in the last game. Play South Florida.