South Florida at Cincinnati

South Florida has a ball-control offense behind power RB Brian Battie (391 yards, 7.7 ypc) and mobile QB Gerry Bohanon (210 yards rushing, 5.1 yp). The team is averaging 5.0 yards per carry. They had 455 yards (202 rushing) against East Carolina last week and also gave No. 18 Florida a game on the road, a 31-28 Gator win as a 23-point favorite. South Florida is 14-3 ATS after failing to cover, plus 22-10 ATS after allowing 40+ points in the last game. This is the only home game for Cincinnati during a stretch of playing three of four on the road. The Bearcats were in that same situation a year ago and in that lone home game, they squeezed by Tulsa, 28-20, as a 22-point favorite. South Florida has covered seven in a row against Cincinnati, including last year as a 23-point underdog. Play South Florida.