South Carolina at Clemson

This line seems off. Clemson has just one blemish this season - a 12 point loss at Florida State, and that's an understandable one. South Carolina has only lost two games - at LSU and at Florida - both understandable as well. The line here is saying these teams are about equal while on the surface, taking the 10-1 Tigers at home laying barely more than a field goal seems like the obvious choice. Remember, the oddsmakers aren't stupid. South Carolina has played a much tougher schedule this season. After last year's Gamecocks win, Clemson coach Dabo Swinney went crazy, ripping SC's nickname and history. These teams hate each other and a close game can be expected. The points here could loom very large. Clemson has the more prolific offense but they are going to be facing a great defense here, one allowing just 17.5 points per game. South Carolina can score and they will here against a suspect Tigers defense that has allowed 27+ points in five times this season to some pretty weak competition. Meanwhile, SC has allowed more than 20 points just three times while giving up under 20 seven times. The Gamecocks are 8-1 ATS since last season following an ATS loss. And, under Steve Spurrier, this team is 12-4 ATS when facing great teams (those outscoring opponents by 17+ points per game). SC shows up here and covers.