South Alabama comes off a heartbreaking 20-17 double-overtime loss to Georgia Southern on Oct. 3, even though the Eagles rushed for 310 yards and the Jaguars covered as a 10-point underdog. Troy's only wins this season were against lowly Akron and FCS Campbell. The Trojans have been torched for 92 points their last two games, including a 42-10 loss at Missouri after losing to Arkansas State 50-43. All of Missouri's 42 points were scored in the first half, meaning it could have been worse if the Tigers hadn't let up. Still, the Trojans were out gained 443-211 and ran for only 61 yards on 2.0 yards per carry. Troy quarterback Kaleb Barker has thrown for 1,459 yards this year, but he is questionable for this game with a leg injury. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings and the Jaguars have covered their last four conference games. Troy has covered only one of its last five home games and it's 2-6-1 ATS its last nine October games and 2-7 ATS following a bye week. The points loom large in this matchup, so take South Alabama.
This pick was released to clients on October 19, 2022 at 1:25PM ET.
CFB
South Alabama at Troy
October 16, 2019
8:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on South Alabama +17 (-109) (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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