South Alabama at Bowling Green

The Bowling Green Falcons have really fallen off the radar screen in recent years while South Alabama opened their season as a skinny favorite at home vs. Southern Miss and went on to an uncontested 31-7 win. Bowling Green is five years into a rebuild with no end in sight, and my pre-season rankings put the Falcons in the bottom five of all FBS teams, a very familiar place of late for the Falcons. Last week, Bowling Green went to Rocky Top and suffered a major loss of 34-6 in a game where they were out-rushed 331-32. Tennessee could have named their score but just put the ball on the ground and took the win. South Alabama is not a strong program, but beating Southern Miss by 24 only serves to boost the confidence of the Jags, who should have no problem getting the cover here. Make the play on South Alabama.