SMU at Tulsa

The Tulsa defense has allowed over 30 points per game his season, and that opens this one up to appear to be a shootout. Those numbers are quite misleading however as the Golden Hurricanes have taken on three of the top offenses, led by three top QBs in Boise State, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State. In those three games, they allowed just shy of 50 points per game, as they were completely overmatched. But when they have faced teams on their own level, they have allowed a more reasonable 21.3 ppg. So, I think this total is a bit inflated given the competition. SMU finds themselves in a similar fate allowing 33 to TCU and 46 to Texas A&M. The difference is that the rest of the Mustangs’ schedule was tougher and the defense has been better, allowing 13.6 ppg in their other five. Once a team that didn't play defense at all, and invited a shootout, SMU is running the ball with a skilled back in Zach Line who has 828 yards for 6 yards a pop. This has been an underdog-driven series with the dog going 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings. For the most part, SMU has been the dog and has gotten the money in six of the last seven vs. Tulsa. SMU is now 8-1 in their last eight to the UNDER after scoring 20 points or less in their last game. The Golden Hurricane are now 22-9 to the UNDER in their last 31 after gaining 450 or more in their previous game, with each of the last four in this series has played UNDER. Play on SMU and take the UNDER in this one.