This pick was released to clients on August 31, 2023 at 10:59AM ET.
img CFB

SMU at Texas State

September 5, 2020
img4:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Texas State returns eight starters on offense, but that might not be a good thing for a team that was last in the conference in rushing and total offense. Tyler Vitt returns at quarterback, but the Bobcats lost their two top rushers, and they were last in the Sun Belt in time of possession in 2019. SMU comes off a 10-3 season, and that was its most wins since 1984 with coach Sonny Dykes having done a tremendous job in just two years. The Mustangs return 13 starters and are led by quarterback Shane Buechele, who threw for 3,929 yards and 34 touchdowns while completing 62.7 percent of his passes. The Mustangs return six starters on defense, and they ranked first in the nation in sacks per game and third in tackles for a loss. SMU won last year's meeting, 47-17, covering by 12.5 points. Texas State went UNDER in five of its last seven games due to a low-scoring offense and high posted totals. SMU has the clear talent edge in this matchup. Play SMU and the UNDER.

1 unit on SMU -20.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 70.5 -108 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
SMU Mustangs img
0
14
14
3
31
Texas State Bobcats
0
14
7
3
24
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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