This pick was released to clients on September 14, 2023 at 10:24AM ET.
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SMU at TCU

September 16, 2017
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Don't be fooled by SMU's 2-0 start against Stephen F. Austin and North Texas. This program went 8-28 the previous three years and finally steps up to play a good team -- a real good team as TCU is #20 in the nation. SMU comes off a 54-32 win over North Texas but the defense allowed 424 yards passing. Last year SMU lost 75-31 to Navy, 51-7 to Memphis and 33-3 to this TCU squad. The Mustangs are 8-20-1 ATS against the Big 12. TCU comes off an impressive victory at Arkansas of the SEC, 28-7. The defense has allowed seven total points in two contests. The Horned Frogs held Arkansas to 267 yards of total offense, a week after allowing only 65 yards in a 63-0 victory over Jackson State. The offense controlled the time of possession with 195 yards rushing as a team against Arkansas, led by 106 on the ground from sophomore Darius Anderson. Only three Razorbacks wide receivers caught passes in the game as Arkansas QB Austin Allen was 9-of-23 for 138 yards passing. With SMU 13-26 ATS away in September games and TCU 35-19 ATS at home after two or more straight-up wins, so back the home team in a blowout and play TCU. 

1.5 units on TCU -19 (-115) (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
SMU Mustangs
16
6
7
7
36
TCU Horned Frogs img
7
21
7
21
56
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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