This pick was released to clients on October 12, 2023 at 10:06AM ET.
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SMU at East Carolina

October 12, 2023
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

SMU improved to 3-2 with a 34-16 win over Charlotte and then had the week off before facing East Carolina, which is 1-4 and its only win was against Gardner-Webb, an FCS school. Jaylan Knighton ran for 150 yards on 11 carries and scored two TDs for SMU against the 49ers and Preston Stone threw two TD passes. East Carolina averages 21 points per game and is #124 in the country with just 304.2 total offense yards per game and #128 with 4.28 yards per play. The Pirates have not covered their past three games versus FBS teams and they come off a 24-17 loss to Rice. SMU has gone UNDER six of seven dating to last season and the Mustangs allow only 18.4 points per game. East Carolina has gone UNDER its past five Thursday games and the Pirates are 4-0 UNDER as underdogs of at least 10.5 points. East Carolina is 1-5 ATS its past six games as an underdog in the first of back-to-back home games and the Pirates returned only four starters on offense. Take SMU (Max Play) and the UNDER. 

2 units on SMU -11.5 (-108) (risk 2 to return 3.85)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 50.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
SMU Mustangs img
14
0
0
17
31
East Carolina Pirates
0
10
0
0
10
consensus consensus
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