San Jose State at San Diego State

The good news for the San Diego State Aztecs is that they are 5-1 on the season. The bad news is that they have outscored their opponents by a combined three points. All their wins have come by 14 or fewer points including a win at home vs. Sacramento State. The defense has led the way but the offense has scored 28 or fewer points in every game. That puts them in a danger zone by laying 28 points to a San Jose State team that has some hidden value. The Spartans have allowed a lot of points but in reality, they are allowing 5.6 yards per play vs. a schedule of teams that average 5.9. The Spartans have scored 30+ in three games and probably won't need more than 7-10 here to steal the cover. The line is very inflated here, so play on San Jose State.