This pick was released to clients on August 21, 2012 at 3:05PM ET.
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San Jose State at Boise State

October 15, 2005
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

There are few tasks more daunting than playing Boise on the god forsaken Blue Carpet they call a home field. It truly is one of the top home field advantages in all of college football, especially when the weather begins to change. This is a huge mismatch that Boise State will take full advantage of. The Broncos are 12-1 ATS in high scoring games (total is greater than or equal to 63) since 1992 as they can shoot it out with anyone. They have played a bear of a schedule thus far, leading to a 3-2 record but they finally get a break here. San Jose State is again playing horrible offense. They are giving up 38.7 points per game on the road and allowing 430 yards of offense to their opponents. In their 3 road games, they are 0-3 and allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 71% of their passes! SJ State is 5-17 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion rate of 58% or better since 1992. Boise wins this one big as we see them putting up 50 or 60 points. Two stars on the Smurf Turf bunch.

2 units on Boise State -30.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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