This pick was released to clients on September 08, 2015 at 10:02PM ET.
img CFB

San Jose State at Air Force

September 12, 2015
img10:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Run-oriented Air Force opens the season with two straight home games, off a 63-7 win over Morgan State. Air Force is on a 6-1 ATS run, is well coached by Troy Calhoun, as well as 4-0 ATS at home. They face a San Jose State squad off a 3-9 season playing its first road game. The Spartans are on a 1-6 ATS run, including 0-5 in conference games. San Jose has a weak offense and is 9-4 UNDER the total following a win of more than 20 points. The Spartans are on an 0-4 ATS run on the road and have had little time to prepare for the Falcons' option attack, always a tough matchup for teams in midseason. Just ask Morgan State how tough speedy Air Force is so to defend, as the Falcons just steamrolled them 63-7. The Falcons are 7-1 ATS after accumulating more than 200 or more yards rushing in their previous game, plus 6-2 UNDER the total vs. a team with a winning record. Air Force is 37-14 straight-up at home under coach Calhoun and has won eight straight dating back to 2013. With Air Force 11-5 SU in Mountain West Conference openers, the home team wins easily, controlling the ball and the clock. Take Air Force the game total UNDER.

1.5 units on Air Force -5.5 (-113) (risk 1.5 to return 2.83)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 58.5 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
San Jose State Spartans
7
0
9
0
16
Air Force Falcons img
7
7
3
20
37
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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