San Diego State at Nevada

Nevada returns home from a terrific two-game trip, winning at BYU (42-35) and Hawaii (26-18). Don't be fooled by the (barely) winning record SDSU has - they beat Northern Arizona, UNLV, New Mexico and Hawaii. The SDSU offense has been held to 7 vs. Oregon Statre and 13 vs. Fresno State. But, their defense has held four four of their seven opponents to 17 points or fewer. So, I expect them to keep Nevada in check (relatively). San Diego State is a perfect 7-0 UNDER this season and 14-5 UNDER on fieldturf. Meanwhile Nevada is on a 12-2 run UNDER the total, including 16-5 UNDER on this playing surface. Under head coach Rocky Long, the Aztecs are 15-6 UNDER after an ATS win and 13-5 UNDER in games with a total set in the 49.5 to 56 range. Take the UNDER in this game.