San Diego State at Idaho

Both of these teams are down statistically on both sides of the ball with ranks around the No. 100 mark, so no inherent advantage from either side there. The big difference lies in the venue. San Diego State has been put in the favorite role here and I'm not sure how they earned that right. But I will gladly exploit it. The Aztecs are far removed from the day Marshall Faulk was King of College Football. They are just 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games following a win. This is a team that has won all of two games in the last 20 they have ventured out on the road to play, and they have covered just four of them. They have only been installed as a road favorite three times in the last six years, having come up empty in all three. They have not covered a game as road chalk since 2003! Meanwhile, the Vandals have been vandalizing the books, taking their last three at home for the money - all three times as a dog. They will also have the sweet essence of revenge on their minds for a 45-17 pasting they took at San Diego State a year ago. The Aztecs are also just 8-21 ATS after allowing less than 20 in their last game, showing the inconsistency they have had over the years. I'm going with the live home dog here.