San Diego State at Hawaii

San Diego State has had a rough schedule with games against UCLA, Oregon State, and Boise State. They covered in a 26-9 loss at Oregon State along with a 34-31 loss to Boise as a +6 dog. San Diego State is 32-16 ATS on the road after getting outgained by 125+ total yards and 13-4 ATS away from home after a loss by 28+ points. Hawaii has a losing record as they limp home from a 44-20 loss at UNLV. Hawaii has no running game averaging 2.2 yards per carry putting more pressure on QB Brayden Schager (7 picks in six games with 25 sacks). The defense is 120th in points surrendered (37.6 per game), 92nd in yards allowed (409.4 per contest), and 122nd on third down (50%). Hawaii is 54-77 ATS versus teams with a completion percentage of 58% or higher. With San Diego State 23-10 ATS against teams that average 3.25 or fewer rushing yards per carry, back the visitors. Play San Diego State.