This pick was released to clients on December 10, 2020 at 3:51PM ET.
img CFB

San Diego State at BYU

December 12, 2020
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

San Diego State has a winning record and this is the biggest underdog spread they've seen all season. They've actually only been a dog one other time and lost 20-10 at Colorado of the Pac 12. The defense is third in the country in yards allowed (269.1 per game), eighth against the run and in points surrendered (16.3 pg). Home teams like BYU that average over 4.8 yards per rush are 15-40 ATS when facing a non-conference team with a great run defense that allows 3.0 or fewer yards per carry. BYU is in a let-down spot after its bid for an undefeated season ended Saturday in a 22-17 loss to Coastal Carolina as a 10-point favorite. BYU is 7-19 ATS at home against rushing defenses that allow 120 or fewer yards per game. Last season, San Diego State shut down BYU's offense in a 13-3 win, and the dog has covered four of the last five meetings. Take San Diego State as my Max Play

2 units on San Diego State +17.5 (-106) (risk 2 to return 3.89)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
San Diego State Aztecs
14
0
0
0
14
BYU Cougars img
7
10
3
8
28
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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