Rutgers at Connecticut

The Big East has had some surprise teams this season. Earlier this year, the nation watched S. Florida rise near the pinnacle of the BCS only to meet their demise soon therafter. The problem for bettors who jumped on their bandwagon is that by the time they were "known," the value was gone. UCONN has now risen to the number 13 position, and it is time to get off this bandwagon as the value is once again gone. Here is a team at the height of their season, and the line is dropping against them. And for good reason. The Huskies will run out of smoke and mirrors, and the top 10 rated defense, which has been exposed the last three weeks. Exposed-yes, but also hidden as they have come away with two victories. The Huskies have been given two wins by officials - one vs. Temple, one vs. Louisville. They played one of the softest schedules in the nation in the first five weeks. They have since had three tough games in a row and it is wearing. The Huskies have been out-gained by every one of their last three opponents. They have had good fortune, as they played Louisville and S. Florida in the rain, S. Florida in the rain. They lost to Virginia. Rutgers is coming off a humiliation to W. Virginia, who will win the Big East. So we take that loss with a grain of salt. Ray Rice will have his way with the UCONN defense in what will be good playing conditions this week. Under Schiano, Rutgers is 30-17 ATS as an underdog. And, good road teams (those at 60%+ SU) are 27-7 ATS the past five seasons following a 21+ point loss to a conference rival. Connecticut is in a good letdown spot after their biggest win ever (and first ever national ranking). We look for Rutgers to not only win here, but win convincingly!