Purdue at Illinois

Purdue has won and covered the last two meetings and it has won its last two games this year after an 0-3 start and the Boilermakers have covered the spread their last three games, including a last-second loss as a five-point underdog to Missouri. David Blough was 25-of-42 for 328 yards and a touchdown in Purdue's 42-28 win over Nebraska two weeks ago. The Boilermakers beat Illinois 29-10 in 2017 and it went UNDER by 10 points. The Fighting Illini comes off a 38-17 win at Rutgers, but Illinois has stayed UNDER five of its last six games after a win of 20-plus points. The Illini had only 19 pass attempts for 89 yards against the Scarlet Knights. Purdue has covered four of the last five meetings and the Boilermakers are 15-5-2 ATS their last 22 road games and 6-2 ATS their last eight games overall. Illinois is 4-10 ATS its last 14 after an ATS win. Purdue has gone UNDER six of its last seven road games and Illinois has stayed UNDER 20 of its last 28 home games and nine of 13 overall following a win. Purdue allows 26.4 points per game and Illinois gives up 28.6. Play Purdue and the UNDER.