Purdue at Illinois

Purdue could manage only a field goal in its 24-3 loss to Iowa on Saturday and quarterback Aidan O'Connell had another rough day finishing 20 of 43 for 168 yards with no TDs and two interceptions for a 39.3 QB rating. The Boilermakers were outyarded 376-255 by the Hawkeyes, who are #129 in the country in total offense yards and the game stayed UNDER by 13 points. Illinois is 6-1-1 UNDER its past eight games, including a 23-15 loss to Michigan State last week as a 16.5-point favorite and the Fighting Illini were stopped five times on fourth down. Illinois does lead the nation in total yards allowed and scoring defense (10.4 points per game). The past five meetings have gone UNDER, including Purdue's 13-9 victory in 2021 that went UNDER by 32 points. The UNDER is 9-2 in the Boilermakers' past 11 games following an ATS loss and Illinois is 16-5-1 UNDER against teams with winning records. Take the UNDER as a Max Play.