Purdue at Cincinnati

Purdue and Cincinnati both have new coaches on the sidelines and that means a new system to learn. Purdue's new leader is Kent State's Darrell Hazell. His first move was to ditch the spread offense in favor of a pro-style attack, as he wants to become a more physical offense. Cincinnati has a pair of QBs that have promise, but it looks as though the decision has been made, handing the job to Brendon Kay. Cincinnati allowed just 18.6 points per game a year ago. They have a lot of those pieces back to build upon, and perhaps could be even better this season. The Boilermakers lack speed, and playing on turf has been problematic as they have covered just 3 of their last 14 playing on it. Meanwhile the Bearcats have dominated on turf going 8-3 ATS in their last 11. Purdue has a long way to go on defense, and Cincinnati has a punishing running game to take advantage. The Bearcats went 6-1 at home last season winning on average by 19 points per game. Take Cincinnati here.