Pittsburgh at Utah

Do not get me wrong, Utah has had a wonderful season and I'll be blown away if they don't win this game. But this spread is huge, all things being considered. We all understand why Urban Meyer would leave the Utes for greener pastures in Gainesville, but does everyone in the Ute locker room feel good about this? Walt Harris, on the other hand, was essentially shown the door by the Pitt administration. Pitt has over achieved all season long and I expect them to here once again. Utah has not faced stiff competition in some time, and while very talented and very well coached, 16 points is too many. Pitt is 8-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams (scoring 31 or more points/game) over the last 3 seasons. Utah will meet the true National limelight for the first time. They are 1-5 ATS in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992. Utah will get it done, but I don't think they cover. One star on Pitt plus the points in a shootout in the Fiesta Bowl. In Utah's last three games, 240 points were scored. Pitt put up over 33 per game in their last three. Games in which the total is greater than or equal to 63 featuring a team that gained 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game (Utah) against opponent that gained 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game (Pitt) have gone OVER 26-4 (87%) over the last 5 seasons. One star star on the over.