Pittsburgh at North Carolina

Pittsburgh is not going to try and get into a run-and-gun game against North Carolina. Pitt's three QBs have combined for 7 TDs, 5 picks. They will turn to the terrific ground attack in RBs Israel Abanikanda (955 yards, 6.1 ypc) and Vincent Davis (239 yards, 5.6 ypc) to keep the chains and the clock moving. They tried that strategy at Louisville last week running for 168 yards and lost a low-scoring game, 24-10, because of 4 turnovers. Pitt's defense is very good, No. 25 in yards allowed, even holding the No. 1 offense in the nation (Tennessee) to 34 points in a close one. Pitt is 30-16 UNDER the total on the road versus teams that average 31+ points, as well as 25-9 UNDER on the road against offenses that average 425+ total yards. North Carolina is 13-4 UNDER the total after getting 300+ passing yards in three consecutive games. Pitt won last year's meeting, 30-23 in OT, and is 53-32 UNDER the total in ACC road tilts. Take Pittsburgh/North Carolina UNDER the total.