Pittsburgh at Miami Florida

Pittsburgh has been impressive, heading to a bowl while winning three in a row along with six of nine. RB Israel Abanikanda (1,320 yards, 5.9 ypc) powers the offense while the defense is 16th in yards allowed and 15th on third down (31%). Pitt took Tennessee to overtime in September and shut down No. 19 Syracuse, 19-9, three weeks ago. Pitt is on a 26-15 ATS run on the road, including 15-3 ATS as road chalk. Miami QB Tyler Van Dyke (shoulder) is questionable after missing two straight. Miami QBs have been sacked 30 times, and the ground game averages 3.7 yards per rush, so freshman QB Jake Garcia (3 TDs, 4 INTs) may have to start. He started last week, a 40-10 loss to Clemson. The Hurricane's defense is 93rd in the nation on third down (42%). Miami is on a 2-9 spread run and has lost four in a row at home to Florida State (45-3), Duke (45-21), North Carolina (27-24), and Middle Tennessee (45-31). Play Pittsburgh.