Pittsburgh at Louisville

Six of the past eight meetings have gone UNDER and the last one was in 2020 when Pittsburgh won 23-20 and it stayed UNDER by 10 points. The Panthers did beat Virginia Tech 45-29 two weeks ago, but they have gone UNDER four of their past five after scoring at least 40 points and they had a bye last week. Pitt racked up 326 rushing yards on 43 carries against the Hokies, but the Panthers basically have a one-dimensional offense and QB Kevon Slovis has struggled while replacing Kenny Pickett and they depended on Isreal Abanikanda's 320-yard, six-TD game to get past Virginia Tech. Louisville allows 22.3 points per game and it is #52 in the country in rushing yards allowed and the Cardinals obviously will zoom in on Abanikanda and Pitt's running game as long as the Panthers can't do much through the air. This is a high posted total. Take the UNDER as a Max Play.