This pick was released to clients on August 21, 2012 at 3:42PM ET.
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Pittsburgh at Louisville

November 3, 2005
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Mismatches will abound in this one as Pitt is just weak this season, and there is no real way around that. Lousiville, although they tripped-up this season against S. Florida and W. Virginia, is clearly the most talented team in this conference and has the talent on offense to put up points in a hurry. Pitt's offense has been overmatched and they have been plagued by poor offensive line play, while the defense strongly resembles cheese of the swiss variety. Home favorites off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival now facing an opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 45-15 ATS (75%) over the last 10 seasons. Louisville is 8-1 ATS the last two seasons off a road game, 13-5 ATS as a favorite, and 8-0 ATS at home over that same span. Two stars on the Cardinals of Louisville.

2 units on Louisville -20.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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