Penn State at Rutgers

Penn State's had a great season, losing only to No. 5 Michigan and No. 2 Ohio State. The offense has excellent balance behind senior QB Sean Clifford (17 TDs, 7 INTs) and RB Nicholas Singleton (801 yards, 6.5 ypc), while the defense is 22nd in total yards allowed and on third-down, plus 13th in points given up (19 pg). Penn State is 33-13 ATS after a Big 10 victory, as well as 22-12 ATS off a win by 21+ points. Rutgers started 3-0 last year but lost eight of its final 10. The same thing is taking place again, starting 3-0 but they've now dropped six of seven. A trio of quarterbacks has combined to throw more interceptions (13) than TDs (9). Rutgers is 6-20 ATS at home after having lost four out of five, plus 22-38 ATS at home after allowing 6.25 or more yards per play in the last contest. The Nittany Lions won 28-0 last year with an edge in yards 407-160 and this looks like a similar mismatch. Play Penn State.