Oregon State at Cincinnati

70% of the betting public is on Oregon State in this one. We're on the other side. Oregon State plays their second straight Thursday night game here. They won their first game over Utah in convincing fashion, 24-7. Cincinnati also won in, um, convincing fashion laying a 59-3 beat down on SE Missouri State. The Bearcats will face a much stiffer test this week as they get points at home. They have won 9 of their last 14 ATS in the home dog role and they are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five overall as a dog. As a home underdog vs. non-division opponents, Cincinnati is an amazing 11-3 ATS in their last fourteen. Last year was their break out year, posting a their best record (8-5) in the Big East and winning their Bowl game. This team continues to be underrated as they went hit 70% ATS last season. With a new head coach in his first real test, we think Cincinnati comes out at home strong, both emotionally and physically. Oregon State is coming off a very good year that saw them go 10-4 and pull off wins over USC, Hawaii and Oregon. They have a lot of starters back but not at QB where they have a new starter. This team typically starts slow having gone 5-17 ATS during the first month of the season over the past fifteen years. While we do think Oregon State is the better team on the field here, we think Cincinnati is underrated and the home field advantage gives them a shot to win outright. With the 3.5 point cushion, we like the Bearcats a lot.