Oregon State at California

The California Golden Bears have fielded some strong teams in the recent past. But last year and this year they are about as bad as any Cal team in memory. The Golden Bears are 1-5, and have yet to cover a game. Dating back to last season, they are 1-8 ATS vs. winning teams. The lone win this year was vs. Portland State at home as a 31-point favorite, eking out a 38-31 win. This is a team allowing 43.7 points per game. Now that they are getting into the Pac-12 portion of their schedule, they have scored an average of just 16 ppg in their last three. You don't have to be a math major to see they that are in trouble here. Oregon State averages 43.3 ppg against teams better defensively on average than California, and I just don't see the Bears threatening the low number here. Since the arrival of Mike Riley in Corvallis, the Beavers are 62-44 ATS in conference play and 12-2 ATS vs. bad teams (those getting outscored by 10+ points per game). Take the Beavers here.