Oregon State at California

Oregon State comes off a poor showing at home, but the Beavers are 13-6 ATS following a double-digit loss at home. They have also won six in a row over Cal on this field. Cal is a big favorite, but the shine has come off the Bears losing four in a row (0-3 spread run). That's because fans get all fired up about flashy passing offenses, but half the game is defense and the Golden Bears don't play any. After starting the season 5-0, the Golden Bears have fallen out of the conference title race and dropped to #11 nationally in total defense at an average of 458.2 yards allowed. Quarterback Jared Goff recorded his second-worst passer rating of the season in last Saturday’s 44-28 loss at Oregon, and the defense allowed the Ducks to post a school-record 777 yards of total offense. Cal is 4-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 17-37 ATS following a defeat. The Golden Bears are also on a 7-19 ATS run at home, including 0-5 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record. And Oregon State is 6-2 ATS against Cal, including 5-1 ATS at Berkeley. Take the big points on Oregon State.