This pick was released to clients on October 26, 2023 at 8:56AM ET.
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Oregon State at Arizona

October 28, 2023
img10:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Oregon State has played two conference road games and struggled. They lost 38-35 at Washington State as a favorite giving up 528 yards, including 422 passing. Then they won at California but gave up 40 points and 448 yards, including 241 rushing. The defense is 55th in yards allowed, 63rd on third down, and 64th surrendering 235.8 passing yards per contest. College football road favorites like Oregon State are 25-55 ATS after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt in back-to-back games. Arizona has a winning record and is 2-2 in Pac-12 action. QB Jayden De Laura (9 TDs, 5 INTs) is questionable but QB Noah Fifita (8 TDs, 2 INTs, 946 yards) has filled in very well over the last three games. He threw five TDs in a 43-41 triple-OT loss to USC as a 21-point underdog. They have a balanced offense behind RB Jonah Coleman (433 yards, 6.7 ypc) that ranks 19th in the nation in total yards (448 per game) while averaging 30.8 points. And CFB home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points are 36-14 ATS in a game involving two teams that outrush their opponents by 50+ yards per game. Play Arizona. 

1 unit on Arizona +3.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Oregon State Beavers
7
3
0
14
24
Arizona Wildcats img
3
7
3
14
27
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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