Oregon at USC

USC is a huge favorite even though the records of the two teams are separated by just two games. Oregon has a dynamite offense at #16 in the nation in scoring (40.5 points per game) with outstanding balance as they average 271 yards passing at 248 rushing. That ground attack is #16 in the nation while two QBs have combined for 20 TDs to four picks. The Ducks are on a 22-7-1 ATS run on the road, plus 21-5 ATS on natural grass. They've scored 49 and 54 points the last two games, but that was against weak defenses. The Trojans have ballhawks in the secondary with Iman Marshall, Adoree Jackson and Leon McQuay III. USC is 9-1-1 UNDER the total on grass, as well as 18-7-1 UNDER in Pac-12 play. USC is a big favorite, but has stumbled three times in  losing to Alabama, Stanford and Utah. The Trojans are 10-26 ATS after a victory, plus 5-17 ATS after allowing more than 450 yards in their previous game. The Ducks have been on the winning side of the scoreboard the last two times they've met the Trojans and this shapes up as a close one with more defense than oddsmakers expect. Play Oregon and the UNDER.