Oregon at Stanford

This is a huge Pac 12 showdown as the only two conference unbeaten teams clash. This is a battle featuring a finesse offense (Oregon) against a physical, power team. There are two concerns about Oregon. The first is that this defense was good last season, but has slipped in 2011 because of a loss of some key players. They gave up 28 points to Washington State, 31 to Arizona and 40 to LSU. The second is that they’ve had injuries to their top two offensive players over the last month in junior QB Darron Thomas and RB LaMichael James. Both are back, but don't appear 100%. Two weeks ago Thomas was benched at halftime, struggling against Washington State. The Ducks are 2-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Stanford is a beast - a powerhouse team with a huge offensive line, a physical defense and star QB Andrew Luck (26 TDs, 5 INTs). This offense is averaging 48.2 points, 224 yards rushing and 281 passing. They can play defense (16.6 ppg allowed), too, after giving up 17 ppg last year. Stanford returns six defensive starters to a unit that finished ranked No. 10 in the nation in scoring defense. The Cardinal has home field, is 12-0-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games. And, undefeated teams this late in the season playing at home have covered the spread over 88% of the time the past decade. Stanford has home field, the better defense, balance on offense, and power tops finesse in this showdown. Play on Stanford and give the points.