Old Dominion at Western Kentucky

Old Dominion has lost three in a row, but has plenty of offensive punch, averaging 30.6 points, 152 yards rushing and 264 yards passing behind senior QB Taylor Heinicke (18 TDs, 8 INTs). They are a big dog here, but why? Western Kentucky has lost four of their last five games and they've lost the last two games straight-up despite being -4 and -10 point favorites. Western Kentucky has surrendered 42, 50, 27, 42 and 45 points over the last five games. The Hilltoppers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, and 2-5 ATS against a team with a losing record. Western Kentucky is one of the worst defensive teams in the nation, allowing 39.5 points per game (#122). They are also 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games on fieldturf, so grab the big dog in this close one. Take Old Dominion.