This pick was released to clients on December 28, 2019 at 10:19AM ET.
img CFB

Oklahoma vs. LSU

December 28, 2019
img4:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

PEACH BOWL - A pair of powerhouse offenses with ace quarterbacks clash for this one. Oklahoma has an offensive wizard in coach Lincoln Riley, ranked second in the nation in total yards (554 pg), sixth in points (43.2 pg) behind QB Jalen Hurts (32 TDs, 7 INTs). They have excellent balance, rushing for 251 yards per game, with RB Kennedy Brooks (976 yards, 6.7 ypc) and QB Hurts (1,255 rushing yards). The Sooners are 15-6-1 OVER the total on natural grass, 35-17 OVER when following a spread loss, plus 39-22 OVER versus teams that average 8.5+ passing yards per attempt. It's the defense that has made huge strides from last year, leading the Big-12 allowing 330.6 total yards per game - 123 fewer yards per contest than in 2018. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS as an underdog and has covered five of the last six when facing the mighty SEC. LSU packs plenty of offensive firepower as well, behind QB Joe Burrow (48 TDs, 6 INTs), tops in the nation in total yards (554 pg), third in points (47.8 pg). Neutral-field underdogs like Oklahoma that outrush their opponents by 100+ yards per game are 37-13 ATS, so back the big dog in a high-scoring, close thriller. Play Oklahoma and the OVER.

1.5 units on Oklahoma +14 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total OVER 75.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Oklahoma Sooners
7
7
7
7
28
LSU Tigers img
21
28
7
7
63
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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