This pick was released to clients on August 24, 2012 at 11:55AM ET.
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Oklahoma at USC

January 4, 2005
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

These two teams are eerily similar from a statistical standpoint. But one stands out in my mind. Title games often come down to one thing - toughness. The wrong team is favored here folks. Seems like many people have figured that out as the line has moved from 3 to just 1 (wish we got it at +3). For those of you who have not yet seen Adrian Peterson run, enjoy it on Tuesday night. He is a throwback type player, who is huge and fast. SC has not seen anything like him this season and they'll struggle to contain him. USC is 5-16 ATS versus good rushing teams (averaging >=200 rushing yards/game) since 1992. They just arent' a physical team. Oklahomia is the smash mouth team here and smash mouth teams win championships. Look for Oklahoma to try to establish the run game early, which will open up the field for Jason White and his talented receiving corps. USC will counter with Reggie Bush, who is the Rocket Ismail of present day college football. Lendale White, SC's other RB, must be able to run for USC to have a chance in this game. But, OU is just too strong in every facet of the game for this SC team in my opinion. SC narrowly escaped defeat three times this season. All of those games occured against the most physical teams that they played. This SC team is younger than the team of one year ago. It will show and OU will be too strong in the end. The Sooners have crushed their last three opponents 107-6. Their winning ways continue here. Oklahoma plus the point for four stars.

4 units on Oklahoma +1 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS
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