Oklahoma at Tulsa

Oklahoma has roared out of the games to a perfect 3-0 mark both SU and ATS. They have outscored opponents 184-26. They have dominated completely. A perfect time to fade them. Oddsmakers opened this one up installing the Sooners, in their first road game, as 21 point favorites. The public has already bet this up to -23. How "up" can they  be for this game, especially with a short week to prepare. When you crush your first three opponents by an average score of 61-9, and face a team like Tulsa, it is hard to remain motivated to bring your A game. They are already getting cocky and overconfident. After last week's 54-3 drubbing of Utah State, QB Sam Bradford said "If we get 12 of these wins right here, then that would be just fine with me. "You really can't complain with this stuff." True, you are killing all comers. But statements like that come back to bite you more often than not, Sam. Show some humility. Tulsa's QB Paul Smith is nothing to sneeze at. He is ranked 5th in the nation in passer rating (195.9 rating!). In just two games he's thrown for 761 yards and eight touchdowns. This is a big game for Tulsa, no doubt, with a national TV bout vs. a Top 5 team. They, unlike Oklahoma, are sure to bring their best game and be motivated. It doesn't hurt that they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven as a home underdog. More on the potential Sooners letdown? When coming off a home win, Oklahoma is just 3-7 ATS the last five seasons as a double-digit road favorite. They are 2-10 ATS in their last twelve games after 3+ straight ATS wins. The Sooners are also 3-18 ATS in their last 21 after gaining 300+ rushing yards in their previous game and 10-24 ATS in their last 34 games after holding two straight opponents to 14 points or less. Too many points for a home dog against a team that is ripe for a letdown.